Denver raises COVID-19 community level to Medium as cases of the coronavirus increase

Two other Colorado counties raise COVID-19 community level risk; BA.2.12.1 to blame for increase in cases
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Posted at 3:20 PM, May 13, 2022
and last updated 2022-05-14 11:59:06-04

DENVER — Denver and two other Colorado counties raised their COVID-19 community level risk to medium Friday, underscoring the need to remain vigilant as two sublineages of the omicron variant drive up cases across the state.

Denver Department of Public Health and Environment (DDPHE) officials said in a news release Friday residents should consider taking more precautions as the number of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people have now exceeded 200, shifting the COVID-19 community level from low to medium, per the latest guidelines from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

The new guidelines — based on lagging indicators such as the number hospital beds being used and the number hospital admissions, instead of leading indicators (such as the total number of new COVID-19 cases in an area) — recommend that people living in a county with "medium" COVID-19 community risk talk to their doctor about whether they need to wear a mask and take other precautions. They also suggest people stay up-to-date with their COVID-19 vaccinations and get tested if they're experiencing cold-like symptoms.

"Since early April, rates of COVID-19 cases have been slowly, but steadily, increasing," DDPHE officials said Friday. "While the current surge is not expected to be nearly as large as the Omicron surge earlier this year, it's a good opportunity to remind our community how to stay safe, protected and prepared for COVID-19."

Denver's one-week incidence rate of cases per 100,000 people as of Friday was 209, according to city data. The county's 7-day average positivity rate was 7.95%, nearly 3 percentage points above what is recommended by officials to curb transmission of the virus.

Earlier Friday, Boulder Conty Public Health officials said in a news release the shift in their county's COVID-19 community level to medium indicates the risk of getting infected with the novel virus is increasing in the community, and additional measures to curb transmission are recommended to keep others safe and limit the strain on healthcare systems in Boulder County.

"The increase of cases was not unexpected as the more contagious BA.2 variant spreads locally and nationally," said Carol Helwig, communicable disease program manager for Boulder County Public Health (BCPH). "It is important for all of us to stay mindful of applying measures to protect each other, especially to protect people who are older or who have underlying medical conditions. Therapeutics can prevent the most severe outcomes of disease. It's a good time to talk to your medical provider and ensure that you have a plan to access treatment promptly if you become ill."

Among the recommendations to keep yourself and others safe as cases continue to increase:

  • Get vaccinated and stay up-to-date on your COVID-19 vaccinations
  • Get tested before gathering with someone at high risk of severe disease, hospitalization, or death due to COVID-19
  • Increase the airflow and ventilation in indoor environments by opening windows or using HEPA filters to improve air quality inside your home, or if gathering, move activities outdoors
  • Wear a well-fitted, high-quality medical-grade mask
  • Wash your hands thoroughly for at least 20 seconds
  • Follow the CDC's isolation and quarantine guidelines if you test positive

Mineral County in southwestern Colorado is the third county under COVID-19 Level Medium, per the CDC's COVID-19 county map. The previous CDC guidelines, which focused solely on the level of community transmission, shows a large chunk of the state is under a level of risk where the use of a face mask is recommended.

On Thursday, San Juan Basin Public Health, which serves La Plata and Archuleta counties, warned its constituents to consider taking additional precautions to curb transmission of the coronavirus as concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 in Durango’s wastewater have more than doubled in the past 16 days, to levels last seen in early February, according to a news released obtained by our partners at The Denver Post.

State data shows the BA.2 sublineage of the omicron variant accounts for nearly three quarters of all infections in Colorado right now, while its cousin, BA.2.12.1 — which is believed to be 25% more transmissible than BA.2 — makes up nearly 20% of all infections.

Projections released Friday by the state's modeling team on the trajectory of the virus in Colorado project BA.2.12.1 will soon become the dominant variant in the state due to its transmissibility and its greater ability to evade immunity from vaccination or prior infection — even to past versions of the omicron variant — which modelers said could explain the rapid growth of this sublineage over BA.2 across the state.

Little is known about how severe BA.2.12.1 could be, but studies suggest it is similar to the original omicron variant in terms of virulence, vaccine effectiveness and immune escape.

Hospitalizations for COVID-19 are also expected to increase over the coming weeks and could reach 500 or more by mid-June, the report shows, putting some strain on Colorado's health care system but "not nearly to the degree experienced during prior surges," the modeling team wrote, as Coloradans continue to exhibit high levels of protection from the most severe outcomes due to immunity from vaccination or after encountering the virus in the community.

BA.2.12.1 is set to become the dominant variant in the U.S. by the end of this week.